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In Watching for El Niño and La Niña, NOAA Adapts to Global Warming

Rotator Image: As the whole ocean gets warmer, NOAA scientists must redefine what they consider “average” temperature in the central tropical Pacific, where they keep watch for El Niño and La...

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Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook: May 23, 2013 (Video)

Go to our YouTube channel for the embeddable version of the movie.NOAA press release: 2013 Atlantic hurricane seasonal OutlookArticle:Will Hurricanes Change as the World Warms?Video: Does a Warmer...

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Worried about Water? Tracking Climate Assures Supply (Video)

Article:Florida’s Fragile Oasis Video:Sources and Cycles: Balancing Water NeedsFeatured Video: Worried about Water? Tracking Climate Assures SupplyVideo of Worried about Water? Tracking Climate Assures...

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2012 State of the Climate: Ocean Heat Content

Rotator Image: The ocean’s ability to store and release heat over long periods of time gives it a central role in stabilizing EarCategory: Observing & PredictingHighlights:  The upper ocean held...

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2012 State of the Climate: Sea Surface Temperature

Rotator Image: Sea surface temperature—the average temperature of water at the surface of the global ocean—is a key indicatCategory: Observing & PredictingHighlights:  In 2012, the ocean basins in...

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2012 State of the Climate: Global Sea Level

Rotator Image: Global average sea level in 2012 was 1.4 inches above the 1993-2010 average, which was the highest yearly average in the satellite record. Sea level has been rising over the past...

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Atlantic Basin Primed for an Above-Normal Hurricane Season

Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dorian, Erin*... who’s next? Probably plenty more, according to NOAA’s updated Atlantic hurricane season outlook. With five named storms already in the books this summer, the...

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Why did Earth’s surface temperature stop rising in the past decade?

The most likely explanation for the lack of significant warming at the Earth’s surface in the past decade or so is that natural climate cycles—a series of La Niña events and a negative phase of the...

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Weather forecasts versus climate outlooks: what's the difference?

Unlike traditional weather forecasts, which consist of weather maps that predict exactly how much rain may fall or the daily maximum temperature of an area, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center outlooks...

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U.S. Winter Climate Outlook: 2013-14

TRANSCRIPTOn November 21, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued its seasonal outlook for December through February. Typically, the highlights for winter revolve around the temperature outlook, but...

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Slow slosh of warm water across Pacific hints El Niño is brewing

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Will El Niño dry out the Indian monsoon? Well, it’s complicated.

Scientists who monitor the tropical Pacific Ocean for the warming that signals the onset of the El Niño climate pattern know that it doesn’t occur in exactly the same location during each event. For...

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2013 State of the Climate: Sea level

Rotator Image: In 2013, global average sea level was 1.5 inches above the 1993-2010 average, which is the highest yearly average in the satellite record (1993-present). Overall, sea level continues to...

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2013 State of the Climate: Ocean heat content

Rotator Image: Upper ocean heat content has increased significantly over the past two decades. An estimated 70 percent of the excess heat has accumulated in the top 2,000 feet of the ocean, and the...

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2013 State of the Climate: Sea surface temperature

Rotator Image: The globally averaged sea surface temperature in 2013 was among the 10 highest on record, with the North Pacific reaching an historic high temperature. ENSO-neutral conditions and a...

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Eastern Pacific temperatures say yes to El Niño, western Pacific undecided

In a new ENSO blog post, Michelle L’Heureux explains how the sea surface temperatures in the western Pacific, around Indonesia and Australia, may be hindering the atmosphere from getting into sync with...

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Shifting ocean surface saltiness from 2004-2013

All seawater is salty, but did you know that saltiness varies from one region to another across the world’s oceans? Not only that, but changes in evaporation and rainfall, ocean currents, melting ice,...

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Walter Baethgen on El Niño and Global Agriculture

[transcript] This is a year that is likely to become an El Niño year, and many people associate El Niño years with bad years--years of disasters, years of drought. The truth is that during El Niño...

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Five things to know about 2014 global temperatures

Rotator Image: We're nine laps into the race to set a new global annual temperature record. NOAA climate scientist Deke Arndt talks about how this year's race might end--and why yearly rankings tell us...

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2014 surprisingly rough on coral reefs, and El Niño looms in 2015

An outbreak of coral bleaching—the loss of corals’ food-producing algae—in the Pacific and the Caribbean occurred this past summer, most likely tied to a brewing El Niño. The reefs of the Florida Keys...

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